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Kentucky derby who will win

Published 01:41 от Vobei

kentucky derby who will win

As of Saturday, five horses were listed below on the morning line. Epicenter and Zandon have had low odds all week, while Taiba, Messier and Mo Donegal. The post position and morning line odds are out for the Kentucky Derby. The th running of American's most popular horse race is Sat. Epicenter (+) opens as the favorite to win the Kentucky Derby. He joins Zendon (+), Messier (+) and Mo Donegal (+) as the only. LU TZE RULE #1 INVESTING

There's very little, if anything, to suggest he will not run his race Saturday and at the very least post a top-three finish. He will be the cornerstone of my wagering strategy here. Pioneer of Medina Trainer: Todd Pletcher Jockey: Joe Bravo This one has the look of a total vanity entry who is just there to run around the track. He should have been closer to the lead in both of his stakes tries, but wasn't. Now the blinkers come off for a horse that has been pretty punch-less when the real running happens.

I can't imagine Pioneer of Medina was very highly thought of in the Pletcher barn from the start, being sent from Monmouth to the Calder meet at Gulfstream to Tampa. Put Taiba in the winner's circle Saturday. Nothing against this horse, who is clearly talented, as evidenced by his two eye-popping wins to start his career. Now you must ask why he has one listed work since the Santa Anita Derby. Why did he wind up on the vet's list as "unsound"? Is he being rushed along to start here by his owner?

He's clearly the lightning rod starter here and every bit of me wants to completely toss him based on the workout issues and this being his third lifetime start. But there's also part of me that thinks it's almost too obvious to completely toss him. He will be a big overlay as a result and he may be the most talented colt with the biggest upside.

Simplification Trainer: Antonio Sano Jockey: Jose Ortiz I really want to use Simplification with confidence, but will Jose Ortiz ride him the correct way and give him the trip he had at the Fountain of Youth Stakes, or will he be sent on the lead as he was before tiring in the Florida Derby? He had a bit of a bounce coming off a career-best finish at the Fountain of Youth. He had excuses in both races against White Abarrio, so I don't think he should be double the price of that one.

Maybe he's not good enough, but at I'm happy to invest and find out. He's a dead closer and while he has clunked up for pieces at Oaklawn, I just can't see him better than fourth here for a trainer who hasn't done much in graded stakes, and he was easily beaten by Cyberknife. I like him because he's versatile and while his worst lifetime race and Beyer Speed Figure came on this track last year, he may have just developed from 2 to 3 in the care of Saffie Joseph and that race can be thrown out.

He has made up six lengths on Smile Happy, but can he beat the likes of Zandon? Maybe not, but he's another one that can win and will be on my tickets. I had him in the Arkansas Derby and I'll have him here. I'm not expecting anywhere close to though. He has improved since taking the blinkers off in his first try against winners in the Lecomte. His Beyer Speed Figures are a little light, but that's fine, as it means he probably hasn't reached the bottom yet.

It could also mean he may not have it in him. Distance isn't a question, but it's just a matter whether he's good enough and whether Florent Geroux can work out a good trip off the pace from Post I think the answer to both is yes. He is one of the more likely winners Saturday. Remember that last year Mandaloun was before eventually being declared the winner after Medina Spirit was disqualified.

If he doesn't send, then throw out any handicapping you've done, as the goal is to not finish last. My guess is that it will be more exciting for the owners to say they had the lead in the Derby. He will not be on my tickets in any spot other than an all button for third in one trifecta. The second of the three Brad Cox runners will likely be the longest price and the farthest back of the bunch. Two of his three wins came at Turfway, he hasn't really been close against Epicenter or Tiz the Bomb and he didn't beat anyone at Keeneland.

But he is still here, has a trainer who can pop at a price and should get a nice pace to run into. It still will not be enough to crack the exacta, but I wouldn't be completely shocked if he clunked up to complete the superfecta. He has no shot of winning, or being around after 10 furlongs, but his first stakes try was pretty good and he holds the key to helping the other two Cox runners.

An outside draw and send into a contested pace isn't a recipe for victory on the first Saturday in May. However, if he does his job well, it will affect the chances of Cyberknife and Tawny Port. Look for this one to compete in some big sprint races this summer.

Ethereal Road Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas Jockey: Luis Contreras Good luck to you is all I have to say if you're considering using this horse with zero speed from post Anita Marks' picks Marks' pick: Charge it to win Cyberknife Marks' pick: Cyberknife to win Exactas and trifectas with 8 and 16 on top -- followed by 10, 3, 6, 12 and 7 There are plenty of favorites in the field of 20, including Zandon and Epicenter, but both will not provide value.

When handicapping this year's race, look for horses with a good "front foot," meaning they are not off the pace at the turn, and that have drawn a good post -- middle of the pack. We're happy. I think that new gate makes it better for the horses inside. We remain optimistic. Like any race, you want to get away nicely from the gate and go from there. How long he stands in there, how long it takes to load, , people staring at him - it's a lot.

Joel is very confident in rhythm of the horse. So, if he is away cleanly Joel will let him be who he is. I wanted to be inside Zandon, and that happened. They'll be fine, in both their spots. Messier and Taiba were among the last three horses chosen. But in the end we drew well. And the Derby is on May 7. We're ready to go. I don't feel like I have any pressure on me.

Barber Road and jockey Reylu Gutierrez have to do all the running. I think being out towards the middle of the racetrack gives us a good chance to see how the race shapes up going into the first turn. From there, we just have to navigate through traffic and Barber Road and Reylu have to do their job. We're very thankful for where we drew.

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He has never finished below second place in his six career starts with three wins and three runner-up finishes. The colt was trained by Bob Baffert before his suspension from Churchill Downs and will be ridden by jockey John Velasquez, who has won the Derby 3 times. Messier tends to be a bit of a pace pusher, but he should have enough kick to win the race. It's just a matter of whether he'll have the stamina to finish the race. He has a Derby-winning jockey in Flavian Prat and is running from the ever-favorable 10th gate, which has produced the second-most Derby winners since He has good closing speed and shouldn't expend too much of his energy chasing the pace early.

Cyberknife is ridden by Florent Geroux, who rode Mandaloun to a second-place finish at least year's Kentucky Derby but was elevated to first after the disqualification of Medina Spirit. Cyberknife's style of staying just off the pace before executing a late kick profiles similarly to Mandaloun, so that could bode well for him. What is the best post position in horse racing? The best post position will vary by race and by the type of horse running in each spot. Typically, horses that like more space will prefer to be in high-numbered posts, as they can work more with their space to the outside.

Plus, they don't have to be inside the gate as long. Meanwhile, the shortest path to victory comes on the inner posts. I also noted that I may regret not picking him to win. I had a Exacta Box and a Trifecta Box. Charge It stalked the pace and angled out under Luis Saez for a closing rally, and the poor trip probably cost him the win as he finished second behind Holy Bull winner White Abarrio.

I am high on White Abarrio in this race, and I think Charge It has the room for improvement and the bloodlines to get the Kentucky Derby distance. He has a Equibase Speed Figure. He broke his maiden at Belmont Park in a six-furlong race. He recovered from an awkward break to finish 3rd in the Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes in his debut as a 3-year-old.

He closed powerfully to get past Smile Happy in deep stretch. He has a Equibase Speed Figure and will be a factor on Saturday. He went on of finish 2nd in the Grade 3 Lecomte Stakes. The Grade 2 Louisiana Derby was his final prep on March His versatility makes him a legitimate contender to win the Kentucky Derby. He has not disappointed. He stalked the pace and passed fellow Tim Yakteen trainee Messier in the stretch to pull clear for the victory.

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