Derby odds and betting
I have pegged a handful of tips that history suggests will aid in the process of finding the correct Derby horse. Post Position Drawing close or along to the rail would seem like a logical advantage for any horse in a particular race. But, in the Kentucky Derby, being drawn inside has been the opposite. Since , just three horses breaking from the three innermost positions have captured the Run for the Roses.
With field sizes that have approached or reached 20 in recent years, any mistake from the inside could crush the chances of a contender in a flash. Dating back to , six winners broke from starting slot 13 and wider, and much of that can be attributed to receiving a clean voyage. Verdict: The trip is essential. Running Style Horses that are forwardly placed have been especially successful in recent editions of the Kentucky Derby.
The last time a Derby hero rallied from farther back was Orb in who was 5th at the second call. Verdict: Tactical speed is almost a necessity. Odds There was a long stretch where favored horses in the Derby failed to run to their odds, but that has all changed in recent seasons. Seven favorites going back to came out victorious beneath the Twins Spires, including six in succession from to Trainers Experience matters when considering Kentucky Derby trainers, as the top conditioners in the game often have their runners peaking at Churchill Downs.
Verdict: The top conditioners get extra consideration in the Derby selection process. Winner of the Santa Anita Derby GI in just his second career start, Taiba will be trying to become the first horse to win the Kentucky Derby in just his third start since Leonatus in Taiba will break from post position 12 and be ridden by two-time Derby winner Mike Smith.
Stables' Pioneer of Medina. Charge It , runner-up in the Florida Derby GI in his most recent start, will be ridden by Luis Saez and break from post position eight. Pioneer of Medina , third to Epicenter in the Louisiana Derby in his most recent start, will be ridden by Joe Bravo and break from post position Trained by Saffie Joseph Jr.
In addition to Pletcher, three other trainers will be trying to add to their Derby victory totals. Rafael Bejarano has the mount and will break from post position two. Cyberknife will break from post position Four-time Derby winner D. He's got some experience in there; he just won the Wood Memorial from the one hole. He's used to having dirt in his face and I'd hope that Irad Ortiz Jr. He's one of the few horses in my barn that I think could handle a spot like that.
We're happy. I think that new gate makes it better for the horses inside. We remain optimistic. Like any race, you want to get away nicely from the gate and go from there. How long he stands in there, how long it takes to load, , people staring at him - it's a lot.
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This subsequently elevated the profile of the Pennsylvania Derby and made it an ideal tour stop for Breeders Cup-bound horses. The multi-million-dollar Breeders Cup weekend unfolds Nov. The last September weekend is a perfect time for contenders to wage their final pre-Breeders Cup race. Possible participants are headlined by Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike.
Taiba, who is trained by Bob Baffert, is also a probable starter. Other possibilities include Cyberknife Haskell winner. Likely starter is Taiba turned the racing world on its ear in the spring. He won the Santa Anita Derby in just his second start. He finished 12th. Should Taiba triumph, he would make Baffert the first trainer with four Pennsylvania Derby victories. He is doing well right now. Pennsylvania Derby at Parx Racing Gates open at 11 a. But besides those three, the names this year leave a bit more to be desired.
Another popular strategy, albeit it chalk, is betting on the favorite. As it stands now, Epicenter is the favorite sitting at If you want to bet on the favorite, I would wait a few days—at least wait until the post draw—because the odds can shift due to which horses land where.
Mo Donegal crossed the line first in last month's Wood Memorial, a race that compares very closely with the Derby in terms of distance and surface.
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The Pennsylvania Derby This event benefits from a stellar administrative decision made in That shifted the race to the last week in September, placing it perfectly between major summer events at Saratoga and the Breeders Cup in November. This subsequently elevated the profile of the Pennsylvania Derby and made it an ideal tour stop for Breeders Cup-bound horses.
The multi-million-dollar Breeders Cup weekend unfolds Nov. The last September weekend is a perfect time for contenders to wage their final pre-Breeders Cup race. Possible participants are headlined by Kentucky Derby winner Rich Strike. Taiba, who is trained by Bob Baffert, is also a probable starter. Other possibilities include Cyberknife Haskell winner. Likely starter is Taiba turned the racing world on its ear in the spring. He won the Santa Anita Derby in just his second start.
He finished 12th. Should Taiba triumph, he would make Baffert the first trainer with four Pennsylvania Derby victories. I think the best name in this field is miles above the rest: no one comes close to Mo Donegal. Slow Down Andy sitting at is also an all-time horse name, and the favorite, Epicenter, also has a powerful name. But besides those three, the names this year leave a bit more to be desired. Another popular strategy, albeit it chalk, is betting on the favorite. As it stands now, Epicenter is the favorite sitting at
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