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Laying horses at short prices in running betting

Published 01:41 от Kajit

laying horses at short prices in running betting

When Dobbing, a horse needing to half in price from needs to hit in running whereas a horse starting at needs to drop to For a horse to hit. Laying a horse on a betting exchange effectively means you're playing the role of traditional bookmaker and taking a customer's money on that horse to win. That. The key to this been a profitable approach is to identify horses that will trade short in-running when we would be looking to lay our bet back at shorter odds. ZULUTRADE AUTOMATED FOREX TRADING SYSTEMS TRACKER JON

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A trainer may be down overall for one track, but on deeper inspection, he may be a huge winner at 2 year-old non handicap races but a loser in every other race type. I know this info can be found for free on the Racing Post, but it takes a few extra clicks to get it, which at least puts you ahead of the lazy recreational punter.

Speed And Pace UK punters still do not make full use of speed figures here and it is also hard to get your hands on some good pace scores. Therefore you have to pay to get this information. You can use websites like informracing. Field Size Some horses cannot perform in big fields and you will see their strike rate explode when they race in fields of 7 or less.

This is one often overlooked stat. Do you know that female horses have a terrible record when racing up against their male counterparts? Did you know that Gelded horses actually have a worse record than full horses? Seasonal Some horses will only perform in certain times of the year.

It is always good to look over this information. Better last time out results than meets the eye Sometimes a horse will finish in 4th position but the speed it posted was in a very fast race and did not get penalised by the handicapper. Spotting these type of horses is a gold mine. If we consider the above factors with all the regular form analysis, then we can find favourites that are overbet and lay on Betfair. Act Like A Mini Betting Syndicate There are countless ways to analyse a betting market and some of the biggest betting syndicates use over variables when coming up with their tissue price.

Therefore always look at different ways to spot a factor that would influence the position of a horse in a horse race. You then need to apply a weighting to those factors how important that factor is and come up with a rating for each horse in the race.

If you spot a horse priced at 3. Double check the horses form and class ability to ensure that you didnt miss something. Once you are happy that there are at least 2 other horses in the race with class ability, then you have yourself a lay bet!

Now onto another lay betting method… Lay the field bet This is where you lay all horses in a race at 2. This lay bets are left live in play. No longer can you just put lay bets of 2. For more info on this type of trading, check out the sports trader who covers this and host of other trading strategies.

Lay the favourite if it has lost at low odds before Some punters look for horses that were favourite but can never seem to finish the job when it comes to the last furlong of the race. You can look at the current favourites using timeform racecards and input the going and trip data for today and see what the favourites strike rate was.

Look to see how low it went in the in play betting market. If you it has lost twice at odds below 1. This, however, can be laborious if done manually. Double or bust — Back a horse that you think will drop in price and place an open lay bet at a lower price This is one of the trending bet types you will see on people advocating on forums today. You use pace analysis of a race to identify horses that you think will halve in price during the race.

The strategy here is to find horses who like to lead and are in good form and have all the conditions to suit. Here is a quick strategy for you to follow without paying for pace notes Look at the top 3 horses in the market. Look at their last 3 races and in 2 of the last 3 races, the horse must have taken the lead before the 2 furlong to go mark disputed lead at the start does not count All age handicap all weather flat races qualify for this Also works on flat turf races but ensure that the horse is also suited to the prevailing going.

Once you find a selection, back the horse at the current price using Betfair exhange fixed price. Then put a lay bet at twice the stake but half the odds on Betfair exchange lay market. If you look at her last 3 races in running comments, you will see the following. As it is joing favourite, the market is telling us that the horse has a reasonable chance of winning, therefore we are expecting a decent run.

Here are the three scenarios of this bet 1 — your horse does not run a race you expected and the In Play price at 2. Variations of DOBBING where you back and lay a horse to win a certain percentage of your initial stake This is where to expect the price of a horse to drop but you want to accept a smaller liability.

You can view our detailed post on how to use this strategy here. Even these days Betfair have made it very easy to trade out green up of an open bet. It means you can trade out of any bet you have placed normally. So this means if your horse is shortening in price, you can cash out to lock in a profit no matter what happens. Now you simply press the Cash Out button. Here is a video explaining how it works.

We often say the ultimate test of the robustness of a strategy is its longevity and Little Acorns has certainly passed that examination, with flying colours. The system is based on four simple rules and involves laying horses at odds-on less than 2. It was released in and has made a healthy profit every year since. We conducted our own review of Little Acorns and it made a solid points profit, receiving a clear passed rating from us.

Little Acorns has also received numerous awards over the years, including our very own Best Horse Racing Service , as voted for by our members. As we say, it has stood the test of time and has a legion of loyal followers who use the system on a daily basis, many of whom have gradually built their stakes up over the course of years to the point where they can bet substantial amounts to achieve notable profits. And the nice thing is that laying at odds-on means there is huge liquidity so there are no issues around lots of members laying the same horse and affecting the price.

As a tried and tested expert strategy for laying horses like a professional, there can be few better than Little Acorns. Exponential Bet The tools available to bettors in this day and age are becoming increasingly sophisticated. Nowadays there is a wealth of information available online at the click of a mouse and all kinds of online tools to assist bettors. In particular there are now betting bots and automated systems that you can use to execute sophisticated betting strategies for you.

One such suite of tools, which has a special focus on laying systems, is from the Exponential Bet team. Working in partnership with renowned bot developer Nigel Dove of Levelsoftware, they have developed laying systems that place bets automatically for you on Betfair.

Once set up, it just runs automatically in the background. It is quite amazing to see this kind of technology available now and it opens up so many possibilities in the world of betting. Exponential Bet have a range of systems available. With this kind of technology available — in addition to trading software like Bet Angel and Fairbot that have options for automation — there are possibilities for developing sophisticated laying strategies that take advantage of factors like movements in the market, perceived value and other indicators to cream off small but regular profits.

We see services like Exponential Bet as the future of betting and expect more tools like this to be released, giving users a potential edge over the market in their laying. Over-Hyped Favourites One of the most simple and effective laying strategies used by professionals is to take on over-hyped favourites.

This happens quite often and particularly in the big meetings and festivals which get a lot of TV coverage and attention from the average punter. This causes more punters to see the price crashing, leading them to jump on, and so on. The bookies noted that a string of bets had been placed across various accounts to win hundreds of thousands of pounds each. Our Head of Trading explains the impact this has had and why you will have to take shorter prices now!

Then they no doubt really started to panic when Blowing Dixie also won its race just over an hour later. Clearly something was up. By this time word of the coup was all across social media and people were sharing pictures of betslips showing huge potential winnings should the last horse, Gallahers Cross, win its race. The story was even picked up by the mainstream media and was being talked about on TV as news spread, stoking the flames even more.

This was a horse who had finished last, or next to last, in four out of its last five races in the other race it finished 8th out of 10 horses. Yet the thought of this incredible treble landing was driving people to think it must be pre-destined, or a set up. The bookies had to slash their odds because they were sitting on huge liabilities, even though they knew the chances of it winning were not anything like better-than-even.

Low and behold, despite travelling well early in the race, Gallahers Cross was well beaten into fourth in the end by over six lengths. It may have been aimed at that race specifically, but Gallahers Cross still had to overcome difficult conditions, some decent other horses and the jumps obstacles in the race, any of which it could have fallen over.

The odds were great value to lay and those who were clear-eyed enough to see that had the potential to do very well, for low liabilities. Less extreme examples happen all the time, particularly with popular jockeys like Frankie Dettori when he has a couple of early winners in a day at major festivals like Royal Ascot.

Place Laying Another potential laying strategy is to focus on the place market on Betfair rather than the win market. The advantages of this are that in general you will be laying at much lower odds than on the win market, thus limiting your liabilities and that whilst the focus of most punters is on the win market, little attention is paid to the place market leaving opportunities for the shrewd bettor.

The place markets are usually tied to the win markets but sometimes discrepancies do occur. The trick is to determine when such discrepancies are valid and when they are genuine errors in the market, which only time and practice, and a keen eye, can spot. These are the horses that tend to either win a race or crash out, but rarely place. They are the inconsistent sorts who can be ideal for place laying due to the way the place market tends to be priced up in relation to the win market rather than on its own merits.

It involves finding those horses that are likely to shorten in price in-play.

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Lay Bet at Short Odds on You Be Lucky

If you lay a horse in a 12 runner horse race you have 11 other horses running for you that could win the race.

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Where to buy ethereum classic in usa Favourites are typically under-priced, particularly in high profile races. The place odds on short-priced horses to place in a race can be very favourable for layers as they will frequently be calculated by automated trading software that bases the place price on the winning price. Look out for sprints featuring large fields because these are even more unpredictable. The tool will highlight the best opportunities for you but you should be aware of what is happening in the race. In short, they are content to throw their money into the pari-mutuel pool blindly and hope they laying horses at short prices in running betting lucky. Laying horses is not as easy as it seems as there are many factors you need to check and understand when laying horses.
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laying horses at short prices in running betting

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